intuitive trading
Exchange is like a beautiful woman -
unpredictable, changeable, infinitely complex and hypnotically fascinating. AT
there is always something unknown, that defies logic. ( "Adam Smith": "The Exchange.
Game for Money ")
If
you do not believe in the existence of regularities in the behavior of markets, why
even play this game?
There are financial theorists who say,
a completely random nature of price changes, and argue that their movement
You can never predict. Some of them had never traded, the
Yet they dare to assert that versed in the functioning of markets. But,
for me, even more surprising, too, there are those who disbelieve among traders
laws in existence in the movement of prices and try to build a system
successful trade by any tricks in the field of risk management.
Regularities exist everywhere, in any
area, believe me! They are crisp and fuzzy; in mathematics clear
regularities in chess almost all clear, but in nature there are clear
and unclear laws. In different
intellectual games, where the factor of chance, all the present laws
They are unclear.
The concept of "clear" is also no different
clarity. If we have an exception in one case out of a thousand - if it can be
considered a clear pattern? From the point of view of mathematics - is not, and with
In practical terms, probably yes.
To believe in the possibility of price predictions are not
It means to represent the price in the form of train schedules - in a kind of point and
when the price arrives. It is a probabilistic process.
Technical analysis, on which is built
most trading methods, is also based on the laws -
laws, as reflected in the charts, either identified by mathematical
calculations. But mathematical formulas are not able to describe the complexity of the
financial markets. They give us a rough, very rough, inaccurate picture
happening. The more hidden is the pattern, the more difficult it
reveal, the longer it will operate and the more benefit
it will detect the trader.
The most difficult perceptible patterns of interaction is hidden
different trading signals - signals the latent synergy.
Intuitive Trading - is first and foremost the ability to see in the
laws of the market.
Fortunately, the price movement has
a lot of predictable characteristics.
Successive bullish and bearish
phase movement, trends and consolidation, storage and distribution,
overbought and oversold, changing supply and demand cycles, small and
big bands and the formation of the trend of the day, constantly changing and greed
fear of market participants - all this contributes to recurring
developments in the market.
So what is the intuitive trading?
Intuitive trading is a method
trade based on market surveillance, search for and creation of laws
method of perception - understanding the market behavior of the system. When this information
going not only in consciousness, but in the subconscious.
Intuitive
trading - it is not for sale
instinctively, as many think. Processing information and objective analysis
carried out in a conscious field and although it is possible that in the unconscious
Region is a breakthrough in the decision, but the decision itself in
most cases are also accepted in the conscious field.
Intuitive Trading - is a way
speculation, when the task of successful trading is decided on the basis of methods
fuzzy logic.
This ability to analyze the interaction
different market forces, to feel the change in the supply / demand, seen dominant
the direction of purchases or sales, and feel the presence of major players. it
the ability to feel the strength or weakness of a particular security in advance
catch arisen interest in it on the part of a large buyer.
This is the ability to weigh the value of each
factor affecting the market, and understand their mutual influence. This ability
to feel certain emotional level - the specific price on which the
It is a change of a significant number of players sentiment.
This is the correct choice of the perfect tense
deal - psychologically important turning points that determine the beginning
strong movement.
This search and analysis of the synergies of trade
signals. For each signal is some kind of a group of players and skill necessary
assess their strength and understand the intentions.
Not always aware of all
those signs and arguments on which to make inferences. The subconscious can
give us a great help in the search for regularities.
Intuitive trading does not negate the use of
technical trading systems. Technical analysis plays an important role in
intuitive trading, and I believe that, in principle, possible to trade only
by engineering analysis. But the methods of intuitive trading more perfect,
they allow you to account for these vague laws that technical analysis
not able to catch, for example, Cross-correlation
markets, actions of market makers and major players, market numbers, etc.
Market model and installation kit will be
different for every trader, so each trader is its
unique trading method.
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